Tuesday, 14 April 2020

Lockdown preventing spread of Covid-19; research Proves

Lockdown preventing spread of Covid-19; research proves
If statistics from South Africa is an indication for Namibia, the quick announcement of the state of emergency and the following lockdown announced in Erongo and Khomas by government, succeeded in containing the spread of Covid-19.
With all the originally infected patients importing the disease from abroad, and nominally infecting their close contacts, the community spreading of the disease has largely been contained.
study in South Africa has found that Covid-19 cases have mostly been contained to cities.
Johannesburg's mostly affluent suburbs in Sandton, Randburg and surrounding areas have the highest concentration of cases in the city. This is considered the epicentre of the outbreak in South Africa.
Gauteng, followed by KwaZulu-Natal has the most cases per province.
A recent study in South Africa indicates that most confirmed Covid-19 cases increase in frequency in densely populated areas. On Monday South Africa reported 2 272 positive cases and 27 deaths.
Most of South Africa’s cases are self-isolating at home and are not hospitalised.
Far fewer cases are recorded in areas further removed from cities with the largest clusters of infections occurring in cities with international airports.
Leading health officials in South Africa warned the epidemic was evolving, changing to local transmission at a low level – people unknowingly infecting their families and contacts.
Had a lockdown not been in place local transmission might have spread far more widely as infected people would have travelled to other parts of the country.
Worst-case scenarios for South Africa paint a grim picture with Gauteng experiencing 1.5 million Covid-19 infections by the end of winter, followed by KwaZulu-Natal with one million.
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